Friday, March 28, 2025

Ring Wars and better uses of neuroscience advances

As you might have gathered from some of my posts over the past five years, I think secrecy is overrated.

I just saw something that could be interpreted to mean that oaths, covenants, and confidentiality agreements could be used to set up a circular war, a "ring war."

Instapundit used to mockingly talk about "circular firing squads" and the prisoners' dilemma (a hypothetical where prisoners can get a shorter sentence by all confessing but a longer one if they are the only wrongdoer who confesses, so they all stay quiet).

How do we end secrecy-dependent ring wars? Since people are going to respond to rational incentives, society needs to be change the prisoners' dilemma. Genuinely repentant wrongdoers should be given a lesser penalty for being the first to confess, especially if they help identify their co-conspirators. It should be a race to confess first.

How do we discern who is actually repentant from who is merely manipulative and insincere? There is a large body of neuromarketing research now on how to find out what people prefer. Use it in law enforcement. Also, use it in security clearances! If someone shows a preference for service to fellow humans, they should get jobs that need people with such a preference (as opposed to a preference for wielding power to use others). All that brain activity research should be put to uses more important than finding out which kind of cola we prefer.

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